Stone Cold Locks
By Bob Gaughan
2022 Record 62-37-2
2021 record 62-49
2020 record 52-52-4
2019 Record 62-41-2
2018 Record 72-50-3
Total: 310-229-11=57%
Mr Over/Under: 7point teaser-KC-Cincy Over 41 and Philly +4.5
Of the 6-games played on Wild Card weekend, five went over. Last week in the Divisional playoffs all the games went under. Cincinnati against the spread is 15-3 including the playoffs, while KC is 8-10. San Fran is 13-6 against the spread while Phily is 9-9. This weekend features the four best teams in the NFL and all are capable of winning, as the point spreads suggest. Both Cincy & KC scored 27 points last week. In their last 5 regular season games Cincy averaged 26-points and KC 29-points. I picked San Fran to win the NFC at the beginning of the season, but right now I think Phily is slightly better and winning this game on the road will be tough for the 49ers. Turnovers could make the difference in either game. So for the third week in-a-row, I’m going with a 7-point teaser parley. Take the KC game over and Phily with the points. .
Man in Stripes: Eagles -2.5 over SF
In what should be a great game it’s very difficult to go against the team that has won 12 straight and has America’s darling Brock Purdy at QB. BUT, we are doing just that. I like the Eagles passing game with Jalen Hurts going against the SF secondary. I also think that Hurts is close to 100 percent. Not sure you can say the same for Niners RB’s McCaffrey and Mitchell. They appear to be dinged up. The crowd in Philly will be going bonkers and will lead them to the Super Bowl. I will lay less than a FG. FLY EAGLES FLY.
Mano: Eagles- SF under 46.5
San Fran comes in sporting the #1 overall defense in the league and #2 against the rush. Philly loves to run but do have weapons to pass. If SF sells out against the run, you don’t know how healthy Hurts is to pass 30+ times. In his own words: “I’m definitely not 100 percent.” Philly is no slouch sporting a top 5 defense themselves. This will be Brock Purdy’s first real test in the NFL and I’m expecting something like last week. This will be a field possession game. Fred Warner will have a huge game and Purdy might have a few turnovers. I’m leaning towards a low scoring defensive battle.
Brutal: Cincinnati Even over Kansas City
Everyone is over reacting to the line movement. It should be irrelevant. The spread has stayed within a field goal either way. I think the Bengals offense will have a little more trouble with Jones and the defensive line. This might be a lower scoring game. I think the Bengals defense is for real. I can’t believe the Cincinnati defensive coordinator hasn’t received any head coaching interviews. The defense is healthy and Mahomes isn’t 100 percent. With high ankle sprains I can’t believe he will be moving too much outside the pocket. Burrow hasn’t lost to Kansas City yet and I don’t see it happening this week.
Bob: College Hoops on Saturday: Missouri over Iowa State
This might be a game where the ranked team Iowa State is an underdog on the road against an unranked opponent. Either way I’m expecting a very small spread. Both teams come in with a similar record with Missouri coming in 15-5 and Iowa State 15-4. Something has to give with Missouri coming in scoring 83 points a game and Iowa State only allowing 59 points per game. Missouri has several scoring options in D’Moi Hodge, Kobe Brown and Isiaih Mosley. The Tigers are coming off a game where they shot the lights out from 3-point range hitting a school record 16. With the home crowd behind them I see the Tigers taking down a ranked opponent in the Big 12- ACC challenge.
留言